Pyramid Comment

This journal takes an alternative view on current affairs and other subjects. The approach is likely to be contentious and is arguably speculative. The content of any article is also a reminder of the status of those affairs at that date. All comments have been disabled. Any and all unsolicited or unauthorised links are absolutely disavowed.

Monday, April 20, 2009

Banks - Worst May Be Over

According to the Bank of England's newest recruit (David Miles) to the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), the worst may be over. Hardly a surprising statement coming from... the Bank of England. The one that wants to get lending started. And the interest rolling in. The lifeblood of a lending institution.

David Miles is a City economist and the replacement for David Blanchflower on the committee of nine that sets the interest rate. In a similar upbeat 'talking up' message, Barack Obama and Federal Reserve chairman, Ben Bernanke, are keen to restore confidence in American consumers. As a stark contrast, the IMF found that a combination of the banking crisis and the global nature of the downturn meant the world recession would be "unusually severe and long-lasting". However, the fund believes that the early actions taken by policymakers around the world, and a more favourable economic backdrop, distinguised the current crisis from the Great Depression.

Since October 2008, interest rates have been cut from 5% to 0.5%. And still this level at 23.09.09, so banks continue to enjoy using other's money 'on the cheap'. Paying a paltry low return while charging high rates themselves. VAT has been (temporarily) reduced (17.5% -> 15%) and the Bank of England has announced a £75bn scheme to inject money into the economy.


Finance ministers from the G20 will gather in Washington for the fund's spring meetings. With resources tripled to $750bn (after an agreement in London) the IMF is expected to play a more important role as guardian of the global economy.